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Climate changes due to global warming
Global warming is one of the biggest issues that have arisen over the few years. Different changes in our environment evidence that the temperature of the world’s atmosphere and oceans have increased over the last 150 years. The evidence that are likely to be seen are direct temperature increase, changes in the dates when lake and rivers freeze and their ice melts, reduction in the glaciers, increase in the CO2 level, growing season of plants and changes in the heat stored in the ocean.
Another evidence of global warming is seen in the biological changes in the plants and animal species. There has been shifts in the ranges of some plant and animal species and earlier timing of spring events such as leaf-unfolding, bird migration and egg-laying for some species. All these changes in our environment evidence that the climate is changing (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2007).
Global warming causing significant changes in the climate have impact on the several land based industries in New Zealand. The research outlines how climate change have influenced different areas of NZ wool industry (Global Climate Change Vital Signs of the Planet, n.d.).
Impacts on Raw materials
According to Ministry for the Environment (2014) there are two main areas that may greatly affect the production of raw materials in the NZ wool industry. Firstly, the research shows that there would be a great impact on water resources. The water demand have increased due to the longer period of summers with high temperature and lower rainfall. This climate condition will also likely to reduce soil moisture and groundwater supplies. Harle, Howden, Hunt, & Dunlop (2006) also outlines that the growth and quality of pasture and fodder crops may be affected by changes in rainfall amounts and variability as well as higher CO2 concentrations. Water resources in many regions are predicted to decrease and become more variable.
These climate changes that are occurring in NZ environment as a consequence of global warming, have a great impact not only on NZ environment but also on NZ wool industry. The raw materials for the wool production may be affected because there is also a strong possibility of increased competition for water and land resources from other agricultural activities, particularly cropping and meat production. The soil quality has dropped due to decreased amount of water supply, and the amount of dissolved CO2 also increases. Once CO2 reacts with water in the soill, this increases H2CO3, which decreases pH causing acidic condition in the soil (Fundamental of Environmental Measurements, n.d.). As a result, the acidic condition of the soil will restrict root access to water and nutrients which will slow down plant growth, nutrient availability and microbial activity (Soil Quality, n.d.). Eventually, sheep growth will decline due to the insufficient amount of nutrients supplied through food. Furthermore, ewes experiencing low feed intake during gestation produce lambs in which secondary follicle production has been impaired. Such an impairment has consequences for longterm wool production (Entwistle, 1974). Continuous decline in the amount of rainfall and increased temperature will eventually cause decrease in the sheep growth due to malnutrition, poor wool quality and decreased NZ wool industry profit.
Based on the study Jolly and Lyne (1970), increasing temperature of 5 °C from current level will enhance the growth of sheep wool, however, it also outlines the consequence of the further increase in the temperature. If the temperature was further increased, wool growth will gradually decrease and then ceased. Naturally increased temperature due to global warming may enhance and accelerate the growth of the wool at first, however, the temperature of 5 °C have to maintained by cooling and heating systems. This mechanism may not be feasible in the wool industry due to the amount of cost that may be needed in order to operate the systems.
Impacts on Fiber quality and quantity
The second area that was outlined on the research was biodiversity of plant and animal species. The warmer weather would favour conditions for increased competition from exotic species as well as the spread of disease and pests. Also, warmer temperatures will reduce some critical habitats, increasing the risk of localised extinction (Ministry for the Environment, 2014).
As the climatic changes, the biodiversity of the sheep gets less and limited. However, the impacts of climatic changes on the preferred breed or strain of sheep is not clearly found in the sheep industry. The climatic changes have less influence on quality of coarser wool than the finer wool productions, thus producing coarser wool would not have great impact during the drier, warmer conditions and declined rainfall. However, there are higher demand for finer wool for apparel and such a shift to production of coarser wools would run counter to industry efforts to produce higher value finer wool for apparel, would result in a drop in wool incomes (Harle, Howden, Hunt, & Dunlop, 2006).
There are possible positive impact of the increased temperature outlined. Overall rise in the temperature due to global warming may also give rise to agricultural productivity. However, the research also comments on increase in the risk of spreading of pests and disease easily (William, 2008). According to Harle, Howden, Hunt, & Dunlop (2006), the concerns on Animal health is expected due to rising temperatures and a greater incidence and range of pests and diseases. NZ wool industry will be under high risk of extinction of the sheep species, if biodiversity of sheep declines and favourable condition for pests and disease dispersion continues.
Impacts on Markets and Consumers
National and international markets could also be affected, due to the reductions in demand for wool fibre in response to a more temperate climate. New Zealand and China among the wool growing countries, are located on the wetter region compare to the other wool growing countries. Therefore, NZ wool industry may be advantaged as international production and supply markets might also shift. An early adaptation and awareness of the situation would greatly allow the NZ wool industry to be sustainable for example through efforts to produce low emission grazing systems, more sustainable management especially in the rangelands, and improved management of the effects of climate variation, could significantly reduce the downsides of climate change impacts.
Reference
Entwistle, K.W., 1974. Reproduction in sheep and cattle in the Australian arid Zones. In: Wilson, A.d. (E.d.), Studies of the Australian Arid Zone. Animal Production. CSIRO, Melbourne, pp. 85-97
Global Climate Change Vital Signs of the Planet. (n.d.).Scientific evidence for warming of the climate system is unequivocal. Retrieved from http://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/
Harle, K. J., Howden, S. M., Hunt, L. P., & Dunlop, M. (2006). The potential impact of climate change on the Australian wool industry by 2030. Retrieved from http://www.researchgate.net/publication/4755642_The_potential_impact_of_climate_change_on_the_Australian_wool_industry_by_2030._Agric_Syst
Jolly, M., Lyne, A.G., (1970). Response of skin and wool growth to local subdermal temperature changes in a sheep. Journal of Agricultural Science 75, 501-515. Retrieved
Mistry for the Environment, (2014). Climate Change Impacts in New Zealand. Retrieved from http://www.mfe.govt.nz/climate-change/how-climate-change-affects-nz/climate-change-impacts
William R.C. (2008). Global Warming and Agriculture. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2008/03/pdf/cline.pdf
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2007). Current Knowledge about observed impacts of climate change on the natural and human environment. Retrieved from https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/spmsspm-b.html
Fundamental of Environmental Measurements. (n.d.). Factors that influence the pH of Water. Retrieved from http://www.fondriest.com/environmental-measurements/parameters/water-quality/ph/#p8
Soil Quality. (n.d.). Effects of soil Acidity. Retrieved from http://soilquality.org.au/factsheets/soil-acidity
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